Kelix Lines / Public research
Boston University vs Brown: model predictions & odds
College basketball · Nov 6, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. A public comparison of Kelix model estimates and available market-implied probabilities.
More College basketball comparisons
Across 10,000 simulations, the Kelix model makes Brown a 69.5% favorite over Boston University, with a projected margin of 7.0 points and a projected total of 132.7. The largest difference among matched quotes is Kalshi, which implies 38.5% for Boston University: 8.0 percentage points above the model.
What does the Kelix model project?
- Boston University win probability
- 30.5%
- Brown win probability
- 69.5%
- Projected Boston University spread
- +7.0
- Projected total (mean)
- 132.7
10,000 simulations. Ratings as of 2026-11-02; model version cbb-202611022155. Comparison generated . Brown is the home team.
Model vs market for Boston University
All probabilities below refer to Boston University. Differences are percentage points, not expected returns. Sportsbook margins are removed. Quotes may not be executable at the displayed implied probability.
| Source | Market | Kelix | Difference | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiReference / midpoint | 38.5% | 30.5% | -8.0 pp | · Stale |
Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel: no matched quote in this comparison.
What could change this estimate?
Ratings updates, venue information and available player inputs can change the forecast. Player injury adjustments are unavailable for this matchup. Model error remains even when the simulation is repeatable.
How to use this comparison
Check the exact market’s settlement rules, quote freshness, bid/ask spread, fees and liquidity. A higher model probability is not proof of mispricing or a guaranteed profit. Read the model methodology and limitations.
More College basketball games
- Brown vs Lehigh odds & model
- Boston University vs Northwestern odds & model
- Johnson & Wales (RI) vs Boston University odds & model
- Canisius vs Brown odds & model
- McNeese vs North Texas odds & model
- Virginia-Lynchburg vs Morehead State odds & model
- Bellarmine vs Indiana odds & model
- Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt odds & model
Explore this matchup in the interactive Lines tool. The interactive simulator requires joining; this page’s available comparison is public.