Kelix Lines / Public research
Framingham State vs Dartmouth: model predictions & odds
College basketball · Nov 4, 2026, 6:30 PM ET. A public comparison of Kelix model estimates and available market-implied probabilities.
More College basketball comparisons
Across 10,000 simulations, the Kelix model makes Dartmouth a heavy 99.7% favorite over Framingham State, with a projected margin of 41.0 points and a projected total of 141.6. The largest difference among matched quotes is Polymarket, which implies 50.0% for Framingham State: 49.7 percentage points above the model.
What does the Kelix model project?
- Framingham State win probability
- 0.3%
- Dartmouth win probability
- 99.7%
- Projected Framingham State spread
- +41.0
- Projected total (mean)
- 141.6
10,000 simulations. Ratings as of 2026-11-02; model version cbb-202611022155. Comparison generated . Dartmouth is the home team.
Model vs market for Framingham State
All probabilities below refer to Framingham State. Differences are percentage points, not expected returns. Sportsbook margins are removed. Quotes may not be executable at the displayed implied probability.
| Source | Market | Kelix | Difference | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketReference / midpoint | 50.0% | 0.3% | -49.7 pp | · Stale |
Kalshi, DraftKings, FanDuel: no matched quote in this comparison.
What could change this estimate?
Ratings updates, venue information and available player inputs can change the forecast. Player injury adjustments are unavailable for this matchup. Model error remains even when the simulation is repeatable.
How to use this comparison
Check the exact market’s settlement rules, quote freshness, bid/ask spread, fees and liquidity. A higher model probability is not proof of mispricing or a guaranteed profit. Read the model methodology and limitations.
More College basketball games
- Central Connecticut vs Dartmouth odds & model
- Dartmouth vs UAlbany odds & model
- Dartmouth vs Boston University odds & model
- Maine-Augusta vs Dartmouth odds & model
- Fairleigh Dickinson vs Butler odds & model
- Concordia-Chicago vs SIU Edwardsville odds & model
- Erskine vs UNC Asheville odds & model
- Maryland Eastern Shore vs High Point odds & model
Explore this matchup in the interactive Lines tool. The interactive simulator requires joining; this page’s available comparison is public.