Kelix Lines / Public research

Keuka vs Cornell: model predictions & odds

College basketball · Nov 8, 2026, 2:00 PM ET. A public comparison of Kelix model estimates and available market-implied probabilities.

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Across 10,000 simulations, the Kelix model makes Cornell a heavy 99.9% favorite over Keuka, with a projected margin of 48.0 points and a projected total of 156.2. No exchange or sportsbook quote for this game passed the matching and quote-quality checks yet.

What does the Kelix model project?

Keuka win probability
0.1%
Cornell win probability
99.9%
Projected Keuka spread
+48.0
Projected total (mean)
156.2

10,000 simulations. Ratings as of 2026-11-02; model version cbb-202611022155. Comparison generated . Cornell is the home team.

Model vs market for Keuka

All probabilities below refer to Keuka. Differences are percentage points, not expected returns. Sportsbook margins are removed. Quotes may not be executable at the displayed implied probability.

No matched market quotes are currently available for this game. The model estimate above is not a live exchange quote.

Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel: no matched quote in this comparison.

What could change this estimate?

Ratings updates, venue information and available player inputs can change the forecast. Player injury adjustments are unavailable for this matchup. Model error remains even when the simulation is repeatable.

How to use this comparison

Check the exact market’s settlement rules, quote freshness, bid/ask spread, fees and liquidity. A higher model probability is not proof of mispricing or a guaranteed profit. Read the model methodology and limitations.

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