Kelix Lines / Public research

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens: model predictions & odds

NFL · Nov 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET. A public comparison of Kelix model estimates and available market-implied probabilities.

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Across 10,000 simulations, the Kelix model makes Baltimore Ravens a 70.5% favorite over Los Angeles Chargers, with a projected margin of 7.0 points and a projected total of 41.9. No exchange or sportsbook quote for this game passed the matching and quote-quality checks yet.

What does the Kelix model project?

Los Angeles Chargers win probability
29.5%
Baltimore Ravens win probability
70.5%
Projected Los Angeles Chargers spread
+7.0
Projected total (mean)
41.9

10,000 simulations. Ratings as of 2026-11-02; model version nfl-202611022155. Comparison generated . Baltimore Ravens is the home team.

Model vs market for Los Angeles Chargers

All probabilities below refer to Los Angeles Chargers. Differences are percentage points, not expected returns. Sportsbook margins are removed. Quotes may not be executable at the displayed implied probability.

No matched market quotes are currently available for this game. The model estimate above is not a live exchange quote.

Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel: no matched quote in this comparison.

What could change this estimate?

Ratings updates, venue information and available player inputs can change the forecast. Only the supported player inputs available to the model are included. Model error remains even when the simulation is repeatable.

How to use this comparison

Check the exact market’s settlement rules, quote freshness, bid/ask spread, fees and liquidity. A higher model probability is not proof of mispricing or a guaranteed profit. Read the model methodology and limitations.

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