Kelix Lines / Public research
NFL predictions & market odds
Public comparisons for scheduled NFL games: Kelix simulations beside available market-implied probabilities. Each game page includes its date, model version, data timestamps and limitations.
29 scheduled games between Nov 5, 2026 and Nov 16, 2026 currently have model ratings for both teams. Pages refresh every few minutes and stop generating new forecasts at kickoff or tip-off.
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens odds & model
- Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons odds & model
- Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints odds & model
- Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts odds & model
- Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers odds & model
- Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins odds & model
- Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders odds & model
- New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles odds & model
- New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs odds & model
- Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers odds & model
- Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers odds & model
- Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks odds & model
- Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots odds & model
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears odds & model
- Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings odds & model
- Washington Commanders vs New York Giants odds & model
- New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions odds & model
- Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets odds & model
- Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints odds & model
- Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns odds & model
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans odds & model
- Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons odds & model
- Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts odds & model
- Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers odds & model
- Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals odds & model
- Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders odds & model
- San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys odds & model
- Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals odds & model
- Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens odds & model
How the NFL model works
NFL games are simulated drive by drive from opponent-adjusted offense and defense ratings, with home advantage, travel, rest and available player status. Overtime follows current NFL rules. Each matchup is run 10,000 times with a fixed seed, so the same inputs reproduce the same estimate. Full methodology.
Which markets are compared?
Comparisons can include Kalshi and Polymarket game contracts and DraftKings and FanDuel moneylines when a quote is matched to the same game. Sportsbook prices have their margin removed before comparison. A difference between the model and a market is measured in percentage points; it is not an expected return. Use the odds calculator to convert prices, and read how sports prediction markets compare with sportsbooks.